Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 7.131804 8.238159 9.420539 10.773869 12.275564 13.886388 15.740395
2025-05-11 5.536870 7.040384 8.765269 10.872745 13.359571 16.181875 19.607330
2025-05-18 4.230947 5.903874 7.956538 10.618944 13.936426 17.888411 22.902728
2025-05-25 3.287637 5.020965 7.288174 10.395217 14.459862 19.510595 26.165712
2025-06-01 2.644549 4.401310 6.840468 10.353931 15.151802 21.334336 29.744875
2025-06-08 2.133227 3.864611 6.411452 10.256094 15.717227 22.988359 33.162839
2025-06-15 1.888913 3.678408 6.441006 10.773907 17.125372 25.801757 38.210519
2025-06-22 1.580913 3.329748 6.172287 10.811762 17.834948 27.679943 42.068773
2025-06-29 1.248496 2.871052 5.661876 10.415612 17.859074 28.575554 44.588742
2025-07-06 0.975509 2.459305 5.163776 9.970994 17.751131 29.243951 46.782451
2025-07-13 0.888767 2.391390 5.242788 10.460224 19.092956 32.063383 52.130785
2025-07-20 0.854227 2.424281 5.502094 11.264941 20.966849 35.737123 58.832919
2025-07-27 0.790242 2.386663 5.635509 11.879431 22.597515 39.155651 65.352122
2025-08-03 0.673590 2.203706 5.468355 11.949070 23.341360 41.256251 70.001210
2025-08-10 0.541446 1.948473 5.120668 11.654858 23.452170 42.373261 73.206968
2025-08-17 0.436146 1.730707 4.815084 11.402408 23.605627 43.548250 76.525170
2025-08-24 0.363189 1.579421 4.627407 11.351344 24.093528 45.260372 80.707120
2025-08-31 0.298622 1.431283 4.422613 11.242379 24.463207 46.784152 84.631562
2025-09-07 0.278742 1.421584 4.540462 11.796500 26.058838 50.374847 91.913824
2025-09-14 0.236027 1.318860 4.417207 11.835863 26.703827 52.400587 96.755041
2025-09-21 0.181310 1.147573 4.091686 11.409663 26.445471 52.886137 99.123758
2025-09-28 0.135760 0.986786 3.760780 10.931456 26.047513 53.102589 101.042840
2025-10-05 0.127388 0.986262 3.871086 11.456942 27.626224 56.785818 108.746028